Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.232293 0.268400 0.308083 0.354908 0.408629 0.468315 0.539643
2024-10-13 0.173070 0.219164 0.274412 0.345420 0.434183 0.541403 0.680701
2024-10-20 0.136893 0.188517 0.255488 0.348515 0.474184 0.637852 0.867035
2024-10-27 0.105532 0.157183 0.229317 0.337015 0.493328 0.711518 1.038801
2024-11-03 0.088300 0.141396 0.220759 0.347367 0.543590 0.835334 1.301152
2024-11-10 0.075338 0.129059 0.214585 0.359664 0.598547 0.974941 1.611338
2024-11-17 0.062590 0.114273 0.201595 0.358515 0.631966 1.086797 1.897913
2024-11-24 0.052321 0.101436 0.189190 0.355649 0.661507 1.196562 2.199214
2024-12-01 0.044387 0.091072 0.178989 0.354447 0.693238 1.314483 2.533633
2024-12-08 0.038277 0.082859 0.171090 0.355804 0.729476 1.445567 2.912779
2024-12-15 0.033974 0.077358 0.167326 0.364329 0.780634 1.611972 3.385201
2024-12-22 0.029420 0.070349 0.159145 0.362195 0.809666 1.739260 3.799928
2024-12-29 0.026346 0.066096 0.156231 0.371250 0.864875 1.930505 4.382674
2025-01-05 0.022684 0.059687 0.147346 0.365396 0.886575 2.055026 4.844340
2025-01-12 0.020311 0.055921 0.143863 0.371465 0.936620 2.249659 5.494417
2025-01-19 0.017395 0.050112 0.134331 0.361078 0.945847 2.353337 5.952603
2025-01-26 0.015996 0.048067 0.133857 0.373444 1.013343 2.604566 6.803982
2025-02-02 0.014821 0.046388 0.134024 0.387549 1.087856 2.884645 7.772002
2025-02-09 0.013210 0.043068 0.129105 0.386930 1.123449 3.072958 8.537448
2025-02-16 0.011740 0.039841 0.123813 0.384259 1.153020 3.250481 9.303761
2025-02-23 0.010513 0.037094 0.119376 0.383244 1.187165 3.445700 10.149897
2025-03-02 0.009512 0.034854 0.116033 0.384900 1.229495 3.670195 11.114123
2025-03-09 0.008817 0.033500 0.115194 0.394235 1.296704 3.975576 12.358950